Alan Scrimger · theunluckygeneration.com

The
Unlucky
Generation

The fiscal system was designed by one generation
and is being paid for by another.

For thirty years, the political centre redesigned pensions, housing, taxation, and public debt in ways that transferred wealth to older cohorts and costs to younger ones. This book names the mechanism, shows the numbers, and makes the case for what has to change.

England Student Loan Book — Growing in Real Time
£236,200,000,000
Outstanding student debt — rising at approximately £634 per second
Base: £236.2bn at 31 March 2024 (SLC SP01/2025) · Growth rate: £20bn per year · Counter starts from page load. Source: Student Loans Company, Student Loans in England FY2023-24.
The Central Argument

Three transfers the centre refuses to discuss

I
The Pension Transfer
Public sector pensions are reported as a net cashflow of £5 billion per year. The true all-in cost — accruing unfunded defined benefit liability included — sits between £250 and £278 billion annually. The Government Actuary's Department values the total unfunded liability at £2.6 trillion. It appears nowhere on the national balance sheet.
£2.6tn unfunded public pension liability · off balance sheet
II
The Housing Transfer
Between 1970 and 2023, UK house prices rose 3,800% in nominal terms. Average earnings rose 1,220%. The ratio of house prices to earnings moved from 4:1 to 9:1 nationally and above 13:1 in London. This is not a market outcome. It is the accumulated result of planning restrictions, mortgage tax relief, and the systematic absence of land value taxation.
13.2× London house price to earnings ratio · 2023
III
The Debt Transfer
The UK has run a budget deficit in every year since 2001-02. Cumulative borrowing since 2004-05 now exceeds £1.9 trillion. Public sector net debt has crossed 100% of GDP for the first time since the 1960s. Each pound of this debt represents a decision taken by one generation and a bill sent to the next.
£1.9tn cumulative borrowing since 2004-05 · ONS series J5II
About the Author

Alan Scrimger

30 years in investment management Fund management, multi-asset investing, and fintech across the UK, Singapore, Jersey, and Australia.
Investment Committee, Penrhos College Foundation Non-executive governance in financial services and private business.
Policy writer and Substacker Author of the Lucky Generation series and Not Far Right essays on the failure of the political centre.
Glasgow to Perth via Singapore A free university education in the 1980s, a career built on a system that worked — and a vantage point on how much it has since changed.

I grew up in Glasgow in the 1970s and 80s. I received a free university education. I built a thirty-year career in finance across the UK, Singapore, and Australia. I did not earn the system I benefited from — it was inherited, and I was lucky to arrive when I did.

"The question isn't whether the older generation worked hard. Most did. The question is whether the system they designed — and voted to protect — is one that younger people have any realistic chance of inheriting on remotely comparable terms."

The Unlucky Generation is not a polemic about age. It is an argument about fiscal honesty. The data is public — ONS, OBR, WGA, HMRC, the Student Loans Company. What is missing is not the evidence but the political will to consolidate it and say plainly what it shows.

The book argues for a hypothecated fiscal constitution: seven levies replacing National Insurance, each with a transparent rate and a ring-fenced destination. It argues for land value taxation. It proposes Britain Investment Management — a sovereign wealth mandate that consolidates the fragmented LGPS pools and builds the intergenerational asset the Lucky Generation never built.

Interactive Data Companion

Every claim, sourced and interactive

Nine themed panels drawing on ONS, OBR, WGA 2023-24, HMRC, HM Treasury, the Student Loans Company, and IMF data. Select a theme in the sidebar to explore the evidence behind the book's arguments.

Podcast & Media

Why Does Nothing Work?

An animated podcast series exploring the arguments of The Unlucky Generation — produced with original animation, each episode taking one chapter's thesis and making it accessible, sharp, and unignorable.

Podcast Series
Why Does Nothing Work?
The animated companion to the book. Each episode unpacks one argument — pensions, housing, debt, the NHS — with data, charts, and the kind of directness that policy papers cannot afford.
Coming 2025
Substack
The Lucky Generation Series
Twelve essays on the fiscal system that transferred costs onto younger generations — with interactive data dashboards, modelling, and the analytical framework that underlies the book.
Read on Substack →
Not Far Right Series
How the Centre Lost Its Nerve
Eight essays arguing that classical liberal and centre-left convictions have been wrongly labelled far-right while the progressive centre abandoned working-class communities.
Read on Substack →
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The Unlucky Generation
Alan Scrimger
Get the Book

The fiscal argument the centre has been avoiding for thirty years

A data-led examination of how pensions, housing, and public debt were systematically redesigned to benefit older cohorts while assigning the costs to younger generations — and what a genuinely honest fiscal settlement would look like.

With 23 tables, interactive data companion, and full source citations from ONS, OBR, WGA, HMRC, and the Student Loans Company.